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Economist Flags Economic Risks as Gold Rallies and Dollar Faces Pressure

Suraay

1/28/20261 min read

Rising gold prices and recent softness in the U.S. dollar are drawing increased attention from economists and investors, as global markets adjust to shifting economic conditions. Veteran economist Peter Schiff said the latest rally in gold reflects growing concern over inflation, government debt and long-term currency stability.

Schiff argues that gold’s upward momentum often signals declining confidence in fiat currencies, particularly the U.S. dollar. According to him, expanding federal deficits, elevated interest rates and persistent inflation pressures are prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets. While he has issued similar warnings in the past, Schiff believes current market trends point to heightened financial risk in the years ahead.

At the same time, administration officials and many analysts emphasize that short-term currency fluctuations are common during periods of economic transition. They note that the U.S. economy continues to show resilience, supported by consumer spending, business investment and ongoing efforts to strengthen domestic manufacturing and energy production.

Gold prices have climbed steadily in recent months as central banks around the world increase their bullion reserves and investors look for protection against volatility. Meanwhile, the dollar has faced pressure amid changing expectations for interest rates and global capital flows.

Market strategists say the diverging moves between gold and the dollar reflect broader uncertainty surrounding geopolitics, trade realignments and fiscal policy. Some view the shift as part of a larger global reset, while others caution against drawing overly dramatic conclusions from near-term price action.

Despite Schiff’s warnings, many economists stress that the U.S. financial system remains fundamentally strong. They point to a robust labor market, steady corporate earnings and continued demand for U.S. assets as signs of stability.

As markets continue to evolve, investors are closely watching inflation data, Federal Reserve policy signals and global economic indicators for clues about the direction of currencies and commodities in the months ahead.